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Macro

LEADING-EDGE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

Macroeconomics

We emphasize analysis on large-scale or general economic factors, such as economic activity, gross national product, personal consumption, and more. The study of macroeconomics is very important for evaluating the economy’s overall performance in terms of national income, demographics, and projections.

IMF projections show world GDP growing by 6% in 2021. With much of this growth happening due to pent up demand from 2020, growth will then be slower in 2022. Global growth will be dictated by vaccine availability in Africa and Asia as well as increasing oil prices worldwide. High levels of inflation due to supply chain disruptions could be a concern.

In the case of the United States, the economy has had continuous growth for over a decade after the 2008 Financial Crisis until the economic halt due to the COVID-19 pandemic. While many sectors suffered due to the government’s lockdowns other sectors saw growth opportunities. The pandemic will dictate how businesses will behave in the future due to the changes in consumer behavior. Plus, the shift in the government’s priorities to mitigate inflation, healthcare, and more.

In the case of Puerto Rico, the island has been in a recession for more than 15 years with important economic events happening in 2014 with the government’s credit downgraded to junk and an imposed Fiscal Oversight Board in 2016 via Congress. Natural disasters affected our recovery with hurricanes Irma and Maria in 2017 causing over $80 billion in damages, earthquakes in 2020 causing a billion dollars in damages, and the ongoing pandemic which is estimated at a $27 billion ticket.

Because of the ongoing changes in the economy and the population’s behavior, our platform has a wide variety of economic indicators which are analyzed by our firm’s economists. This includes, but not limited to:

  • Gross National Product (GNP) / Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the United States and Puerto Rico
  • Economic Activity Index
  • Treasury Department’s Net Revenues
  • Total Employment / Unemployment Rate for the United States and Puerto Rico
  • Total employment by industry
  • Over 500 macroeconomic indicators

 

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